Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.6408
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 85
Valid Top10 y1/n 67.46%
Valid AUROC 0.6664
Valid Precision 56.23%
Valid Recall 44.52%
Valid F1 49.69%
Valid Brier 0.2156
Valid BSS 0.0672
Test @ Valid Top10 n 16
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 15
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 93.75%
Test AUROC 0.6508
Test Precision 53.09%
Test Recall 42.16%
Test F1 46.99%
Test Brier 0.2218
Test BSS 0.0227
BSS Decay -0.0444
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6408 | 126 | 85 | 67.46% | 0.6664 | 56.23% | 44.52% | 49.69% | 0.2156 | 0.0672 | 16 | 15 | 93.75% | 0.6508 | 53.09% | 42.16% | 46.99% | 0.2218 | 0.0227 | -0.0444 | 0.0121 | 0.2629 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5592 | 126 | 73 | 57.94% | 0.7038 | 53.40% | 36.30% | 43.22% | 0.1724 | 0.0571 | 33 | 15 | 45.45% | 0.7128 | 40.35% | 47.92% | 43.81% | 0.1718 | -0.2366 | -0.2937 | -0.0057 | -0.1248 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6653 | 126 | 77 | 61.11% | 0.6587 | 53.69% | 41.45% | 46.78% | 0.2209 | 0.0442 | 9 | 7 | 77.78% | 0.6110 | 51.52% | 33.33% | 40.48% | 0.2253 | 0.0073 | -0.0369 | 0.0036 | 0.1667 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6226 | 126 | 89 | 70.63% | 0.6799 | 55.92% | 51.75% | 53.76% | 0.2210 | 0.0437 | 20 | 14 | 70.00% | 0.6572 | 50.88% | 28.43% | 36.48% | 0.2112 | 0.0694 | 0.0257 | -0.0230 | -0.0063 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5358 | 126 | 62 | 49.21% | 0.6870 | 45.90% | 27.72% | 34.57% | 0.1818 | 0.0055 | 7 | 6 | 85.71% | 0.7984 | 72.73% | 16.67% | 27.12% | 0.1171 | 0.1566 | 0.1511 | -0.1583 | 0.3651 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6096 | 126 | 54 | 42.86% | 0.6430 | 38.87% | 36.30% | 37.54% | 0.1984 | -0.0852 | 34 | 8 | 23.53% | 0.7294 | 29.03% | 37.50% | 32.73% | 0.1780 | -0.2814 | -0.1962 | -0.0624 | -0.1933 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4104 | 126 | 23 | 18.25% | 0.6905 | 19.30% | 10.19% | 13.33% | 0.0928 | -0.1819 | 48 | 6 | 12.50% | 0.7759 | 18.18% | 30.77% | 22.86% | 0.0757 | -0.7558 | -0.5739 | -0.0497 | -0.0575 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4711 | 126 | 27 | 21.43% | 0.7226 | 20.83% | 18.52% | 19.61% | 0.0990 | -0.2613 | 11 | 5 | 45.45% | 0.7701 | 50.00% | 30.77% | 38.10% | 0.0600 | -0.3924 | -0.1311 | -0.0826 | 0.2403 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4231 | 126 | 30 | 23.81% | 0.6211 | 28.57% | 18.52% | 22.47% | 0.1074 | -0.3687 | 3 | 2 | 66.67% | 0.7919 | 100.00% | 15.38% | 26.67% | 0.0403 | 0.0639 | 0.4326 | -0.2031 | 0.4286 |