Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed252_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed252_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5423
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 77
Valid Top10 y1/n 61.11%
Valid AUROC 0.5927
Valid Precision 53.30%
Valid Recall 39.84%
Valid F1 45.60%
Valid Brier 0.2401
Valid BSS 0.0022
Test @ Valid Top10 n 16
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 5
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 31.25%
Test AUROC 0.6153
Test Precision 29.63%
Test Recall 25.40%
Test F1 27.35%
Test Brier 0.1973
Test BSS -0.1687
BSS Decay -0.1709
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5423 | 126 | 77 | 61.11% | 0.5927 | 53.30% | 39.84% | 45.60% | 0.2401 | 0.0022 | 16 | 5 | 31.25% | 0.6153 | 29.63% | 25.40% | 27.35% | 0.1973 | -0.1687 | -0.1709 | -0.0985 | -0.2986 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4985 | 126 | 49 | 38.89% | 0.5180 | 36.04% | 7.89% | 12.94% | 0.2454 | -0.0199 | 5 | 4 | 80.00% | 0.5812 | 75.00% | 4.76% | 8.96% | 0.2289 | -0.3560 | -0.3361 | -0.0345 | 0.4111 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5586 | 126 | 59 | 46.83% | 0.5417 | 47.75% | 33.53% | 39.40% | 0.2485 | -0.0327 | 10 | 4 | 40.00% | 0.5129 | 32.14% | 14.29% | 19.78% | 0.2122 | -0.2572 | -0.2244 | -0.0815 | -0.0683 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5344 | 126 | 41 | 32.54% | 0.5264 | 33.08% | 23.32% | 27.36% | 0.2296 | -0.1009 | 15 | 5 | 33.33% | 0.5775 | 22.73% | 20.00% | 21.28% | 0.1371 | -0.7290 | -0.6281 | -0.2167 | 0.0079 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4574 | 126 | 23 | 18.25% | 0.4430 | 4.35% | 0.27% | 0.51% | 0.2300 | -0.1024 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.6738 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1924 | -1.4266 | -1.3241 | -0.0823 | -0.1825 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5348 | 126 | 47 | 37.30% | 0.5406 | 37.98% | 29.22% | 33.03% | 0.2306 | -0.1053 | 18 | 2 | 11.11% | 0.6148 | 8.33% | 8.00% | 8.16% | 0.1298 | -0.6372 | -0.5318 | -0.2385 | -0.2619 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.3658 | 126 | 11 | 8.73% | 0.4397 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1222 | -0.1637 | 186 | 5 | 2.69% | 0.4087 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1179 | -3.9728 | -3.8090 | -0.0122 | -0.0604 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4434 | 126 | 20 | 15.87% | 0.5313 | 0.00% | 0.00% | - | 0.1307 | -0.2449 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.8988 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.0293 | -0.2346 | 0.0103 | -0.2823 | -0.1587 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4551 | 126 | 15 | 11.90% | 0.5419 | 8.33% | 2.00% | 3.23% | 0.1348 | -0.2832 | 16 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.4784 | 0.00% | 0.00% | - | 0.0576 | -1.4289 | -1.1457 | -0.2155 | -0.1190 |