Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.6070
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 88
Valid Top10 y1/n 69.84%
Valid AUROC 0.5868
Valid Precision 58.57%
Valid Recall 51.70%
Valid F1 54.92%
Valid Brier 0.2434
Valid BSS 0.0255
Test @ Valid Top10 n 1
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 1
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 100.00%
Test AUROC 0.6271
Test Precision 55.80%
Test Recall 67.33%
Test F1 61.03%
Test Brier 0.2438
Test BSS 0.0242
BSS Decay -0.0013
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6070 | 126 | 88 | 69.84% | 0.5868 | 58.57% | 51.70% | 54.92% | 0.2434 | 0.0255 | 1 | 1 | 100.00% | 0.6271 | 55.80% | 67.33% | 61.03% | 0.2438 | 0.0242 | -0.0013 | 0.0010 | 0.3016 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5973 | 126 | 84 | 66.67% | 0.5877 | 56.74% | 59.72% | 58.20% | 0.2439 | 0.0234 | 20 | 16 | 80.00% | 0.5741 | 53.68% | 34.00% | 41.63% | 0.2439 | 0.0240 | 0.0006 | -0.0004 | 0.1333 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5832 | 126 | 93 | 73.81% | 0.5882 | 58.56% | 40.61% | 47.96% | 0.2388 | 0.0163 | 45 | 30 | 66.67% | 0.6491 | 51.13% | 61.82% | 55.97% | 0.2402 | -0.0173 | -0.0337 | 0.0019 | -0.0714 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5651 | 126 | 83 | 65.87% | 0.6103 | 53.80% | 47.51% | 50.46% | 0.2390 | 0.0154 | 21 | 14 | 66.67% | 0.6001 | 69.44% | 22.73% | 34.25% | 0.2250 | 0.0468 | 0.0315 | -0.0360 | 0.0079 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6007 | 126 | 85 | 67.46% | 0.5427 | 55.19% | 44.29% | 49.14% | 0.2503 | -0.0021 | 2 | 2 | 100.00% | 0.4858 | 50.00% | 32.67% | 39.52% | 0.2554 | -0.0220 | -0.0199 | 0.0102 | 0.3254 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5645 | 126 | 59 | 46.83% | 0.5104 | 44.15% | 34.67% | 38.84% | 0.2551 | -0.0507 | 29 | 11 | 37.93% | 0.5642 | 47.30% | 31.82% | 38.04% | 0.2429 | -0.0288 | 0.0219 | -0.0305 | -0.0889 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4984 | 126 | 59 | 46.83% | 0.6158 | 47.50% | 18.51% | 26.64% | 0.1951 | -0.0551 | 5 | 3 | 60.00% | 0.6191 | 50.00% | 3.51% | 6.56% | 0.1592 | -0.0026 | 0.0525 | -0.0815 | 0.1317 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5038 | 126 | 62 | 49.21% | 0.6012 | 48.97% | 23.05% | 31.35% | 0.1964 | -0.0623 | 81 | 31 | 38.27% | 0.6376 | 35.48% | 57.89% | 44.00% | 0.2244 | -0.4138 | -0.3514 | 0.0523 | -0.1093 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5184 | 126 | 25 | 19.84% | 0.4846 | 18.09% | 11.04% | 13.71% | 0.2231 | -0.2065 | 26 | 5 | 19.23% | 0.4847 | 22.22% | 14.04% | 17.20% | 0.2117 | -0.3336 | -0.1271 | -0.0270 | -0.0061 |