Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.6375
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 84
Valid Top10 y1/n 66.67%
Valid AUROC 0.5884
Valid Precision 52.08%
Valid Recall 51.71%
Valid F1 51.89%
Valid Brier 0.2446
Valid BSS 0.0086
Test @ Valid Top10 n 5
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 5
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 100.00%
Test AUROC 0.5576
Test Precision 50.00%
Test Recall 41.03%
Test F1 45.07%
Test Brier 0.2419
Test BSS -0.0029
BSS Decay -0.0115
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6375 | 126 | 84 | 66.67% | 0.5884 | 52.08% | 51.71% | 51.89% | 0.2446 | 0.0086 | 5 | 5 | 100.00% | 0.5576 | 50.00% | 41.03% | 45.07% | 0.2419 | -0.0029 | -0.0115 | -0.0063 | 0.3333 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5870 | 126 | 96 | 76.19% | 0.5732 | 59.08% | 54.08% | 56.47% | 0.2461 | 0.0073 | 37 | 28 | 75.68% | 0.5923 | 57.14% | 70.89% | 63.28% | 0.2416 | 0.0275 | 0.0202 | -0.0095 | -0.0051 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6257 | 126 | 91 | 72.22% | 0.5566 | 57.73% | 55.54% | 56.61% | 0.2462 | 0.0069 | 2 | 2 | 100.00% | 0.5898 | 61.15% | 53.80% | 57.24% | 0.2476 | 0.0036 | -0.0032 | 0.0028 | 0.2778 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5466 | 126 | 82 | 65.08% | 0.5558 | 52.12% | 33.03% | 40.44% | 0.2462 | 0.0023 | 39 | 19 | 48.72% | 0.6275 | 54.17% | 33.33% | 41.27% | 0.2358 | 0.0224 | 0.0202 | -0.0222 | -0.1636 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6047 | 126 | 86 | 68.25% | 0.5373 | 56.41% | 48.10% | 51.93% | 0.2514 | -0.0138 | 26 | 19 | 73.08% | 0.5881 | 59.73% | 56.33% | 57.98% | 0.2432 | 0.0210 | 0.0349 | -0.0187 | 0.0482 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6147 | 126 | 71 | 56.35% | 0.5097 | 45.18% | 36.98% | 40.67% | 0.2608 | -0.0570 | 9 | 7 | 77.78% | 0.5413 | 49.04% | 43.59% | 46.15% | 0.2445 | -0.0135 | 0.0435 | -0.0451 | 0.2143 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5102 | 126 | 44 | 34.92% | 0.5801 | 35.22% | 18.42% | 24.19% | 0.2033 | -0.1092 | 25 | 7 | 28.00% | 0.6275 | 37.50% | 23.53% | 28.92% | 0.1766 | -0.2120 | -0.1028 | -0.0573 | -0.0692 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5036 | 126 | 31 | 24.60% | 0.5681 | 23.94% | 11.18% | 15.25% | 0.2034 | -0.1100 | 45 | 9 | 20.00% | 0.6244 | 21.74% | 19.61% | 20.62% | 0.1964 | -0.3479 | -0.2379 | -0.0149 | -0.0460 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4568 | 126 | 39 | 30.95% | 0.5158 | 35.00% | 6.91% | 11.54% | 0.2037 | -0.1117 | 3 | 1 | 33.33% | 0.6073 | 50.00% | 1.96% | 3.77% | 0.1499 | -0.0288 | 0.0829 | -0.1224 | 0.0238 |