Phase2 STAGE2

TMV

ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.

Current Winner

Model logistic_regression_gd

Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore

Own price_volume_core

Underlying disabled

Label upmove_h5_abs5

WF fixed252_monthly

Prep winsorize_p02_p98

Quality

Valid Top10 p 0.5410

Valid Top10 n 126

Valid Top10 y1 77

Valid Top10 y1/n 61.11%

Valid AUROC 0.5915

Valid Precision 54.24%

Valid Recall 35.73%

Valid F1 43.08%

Valid Brier 0.2383

Valid BSS 0.0054

Test @ Valid Top10 n 15

Test @ Valid Top10 y1 4

Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 26.67%

Test AUROC 0.6270

Test Precision 30.56%

Test Recall 17.74%

Test F1 22.45%

Test Brier 0.1943

Test BSS -0.1649

BSS Decay -0.1704

Winner Model Context Own Underlying Label WF Prep Valid Top10 p Valid Top10 n Valid Top10 y1 Valid Top10 y1/n Valid AUC Valid P Valid R Valid F1 Valid Brier Valid BSS Test @VTop10 n Test @VTop10 y1 Test @VTop10 y1/n Test AUC Test P Test R Test F1 Test Brier Test BSS BSS Decay LL Decay Top10 Decay
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5410 126 77 61.11% 0.5915 54.24% 35.73% 43.08% 0.2383 0.0054 15 4 26.67% 0.6270 30.56% 17.74% 22.45% 0.1943 -0.1649 -0.1704 -0.0969 -0.3444
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4966 126 52 41.27% 0.5350 41.84% 8.18% 13.69% 0.2445 -0.0201 9 4 44.44% 0.5781 40.00% 3.23% 5.97% 0.2269 -0.3601 -0.3401 -0.0373 0.0317
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5471 126 51 40.48% 0.5423 45.70% 30.74% 36.75% 0.2467 -0.0294 13 6 46.15% 0.5430 36.00% 14.52% 20.69% 0.2041 -0.2233 -0.1938 -0.0941 0.0568
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5342 126 38 30.16% 0.5265 32.45% 22.69% 26.71% 0.2319 -0.1014 17 5 29.41% 0.5763 26.09% 24.00% 25.00% 0.1453 -0.8333 -0.7319 -0.2060 -0.0075
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4584 126 20 15.87% 0.4315 5.26% 0.26% 0.50% 0.2327 -0.1053 4 0 0.00% 0.6824 - 0.00% - 0.1945 -1.4536 -1.3483 -0.0838 -0.1587
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5324 126 44 34.92% 0.5337 39.30% 29.55% 33.73% 0.2330 -0.1069 14 1 7.14% 0.6217 4.35% 4.00% 4.17% 0.1401 -0.7671 -0.6601 -0.2210 -0.2778
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.3615 126 12 9.52% 0.4421 - 0.00% - 0.1209 -0.1713 159 2 1.26% 0.3003 - 0.00% - 0.1123 -2.7107 -2.5394 -0.0217 -0.0827
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4467 126 19 15.08% 0.5282 0.00% 0.00% - 0.1291 -0.2507 0 0 - 0.8817 - 0.00% - 0.0343 -0.1327 0.1180 -0.2638 -
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4582 126 16 12.70% 0.5552 7.14% 2.04% 3.17% 0.1338 -0.2965 19 0 0.00% 0.7587 0.00% 0.00% - 0.0685 -1.2634 -0.9669 -0.1804 -0.1270