Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed252_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed252_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5410
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 77
Valid Top10 y1/n 61.11%
Valid AUROC 0.5915
Valid Precision 54.24%
Valid Recall 35.73%
Valid F1 43.08%
Valid Brier 0.2383
Valid BSS 0.0054
Test @ Valid Top10 n 15
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 4
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 26.67%
Test AUROC 0.6270
Test Precision 30.56%
Test Recall 17.74%
Test F1 22.45%
Test Brier 0.1943
Test BSS -0.1649
BSS Decay -0.1704
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5410 | 126 | 77 | 61.11% | 0.5915 | 54.24% | 35.73% | 43.08% | 0.2383 | 0.0054 | 15 | 4 | 26.67% | 0.6270 | 30.56% | 17.74% | 22.45% | 0.1943 | -0.1649 | -0.1704 | -0.0969 | -0.3444 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4966 | 126 | 52 | 41.27% | 0.5350 | 41.84% | 8.18% | 13.69% | 0.2445 | -0.0201 | 9 | 4 | 44.44% | 0.5781 | 40.00% | 3.23% | 5.97% | 0.2269 | -0.3601 | -0.3401 | -0.0373 | 0.0317 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5471 | 126 | 51 | 40.48% | 0.5423 | 45.70% | 30.74% | 36.75% | 0.2467 | -0.0294 | 13 | 6 | 46.15% | 0.5430 | 36.00% | 14.52% | 20.69% | 0.2041 | -0.2233 | -0.1938 | -0.0941 | 0.0568 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5342 | 126 | 38 | 30.16% | 0.5265 | 32.45% | 22.69% | 26.71% | 0.2319 | -0.1014 | 17 | 5 | 29.41% | 0.5763 | 26.09% | 24.00% | 25.00% | 0.1453 | -0.8333 | -0.7319 | -0.2060 | -0.0075 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4584 | 126 | 20 | 15.87% | 0.4315 | 5.26% | 0.26% | 0.50% | 0.2327 | -0.1053 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.6824 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1945 | -1.4536 | -1.3483 | -0.0838 | -0.1587 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5324 | 126 | 44 | 34.92% | 0.5337 | 39.30% | 29.55% | 33.73% | 0.2330 | -0.1069 | 14 | 1 | 7.14% | 0.6217 | 4.35% | 4.00% | 4.17% | 0.1401 | -0.7671 | -0.6601 | -0.2210 | -0.2778 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.3615 | 126 | 12 | 9.52% | 0.4421 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1209 | -0.1713 | 159 | 2 | 1.26% | 0.3003 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1123 | -2.7107 | -2.5394 | -0.0217 | -0.0827 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4467 | 126 | 19 | 15.08% | 0.5282 | 0.00% | 0.00% | - | 0.1291 | -0.2507 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.8817 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.0343 | -0.1327 | 0.1180 | -0.2638 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4582 | 126 | 16 | 12.70% | 0.5552 | 7.14% | 2.04% | 3.17% | 0.1338 | -0.2965 | 19 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.7587 | 0.00% | 0.00% | - | 0.0685 | -1.2634 | -0.9669 | -0.1804 | -0.1270 |