Phase2 STAGE2

TECS

ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.

Current Winner

Model logistic_regression_gd

Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore

Own price_volume_core

Underlying disabled

Label upmove_h5_abs5

WF fixed252_monthly

Prep winsorize_p02_p98

Quality

Valid Top10 p 0.5716

Valid Top10 n 126

Valid Top10 y1 87

Valid Top10 y1/n 69.05%

Valid AUROC 0.5281

Valid Precision 50.52%

Valid Recall 47.12%

Valid F1 48.76%

Valid Brier 0.2500

Valid BSS -0.0001

Test @ Valid Top10 n 6

Test @ Valid Top10 y1 3

Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 50.00%

Test AUROC 0.4769

Test Precision 49.60%

Test Recall 42.47%

Test F1 45.76%

Test Brier 0.2558

Test BSS -0.0230

BSS Decay -0.0229

Winner Model Context Own Underlying Label WF Prep Valid Top10 p Valid Top10 n Valid Top10 y1 Valid Top10 y1/n Valid AUC Valid P Valid R Valid F1 Valid Brier Valid BSS Test @VTop10 n Test @VTop10 y1 Test @VTop10 y1/n Test AUC Test P Test R Test F1 Test Brier Test BSS BSS Decay LL Decay Top10 Decay
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5716 126 87 69.05% 0.5281 50.52% 47.12% 48.76% 0.2500 -0.0001 6 3 50.00% 0.4769 49.60% 42.47% 45.76% 0.2558 -0.0230 -0.0229 0.0117 -0.1905
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5700 126 79 62.70% 0.5287 52.49% 38.78% 44.61% 0.2521 -0.0086 3 2 66.67% 0.5127 52.32% 54.11% 53.20% 0.2501 -0.0002 0.0083 -0.0077 0.0397
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5662 126 62 49.21% 0.5281 53.11% 49.20% 51.08% 0.2521 -0.0087 4 2 50.00% 0.5686 54.81% 50.68% 52.67% 0.2478 0.0086 0.0173 -0.0095 0.0079
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5363 126 51 40.48% 0.5219 41.23% 26.02% 31.91% 0.2478 -0.0435 14 7 50.00% 0.5241 53.06% 21.67% 30.77% 0.2457 -0.0109 0.0327 -0.0077 0.0952
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5490 126 61 48.41% 0.4890 39.02% 22.95% 28.90% 0.2498 -0.0520 1 0 0.00% 0.4147 35.29% 35.00% 35.15% 0.2541 -0.0454 0.0066 0.0071 -0.4841
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5912 126 65 51.59% 0.5393 46.94% 42.42% 44.56% 0.2539 -0.0694 0 0 - 0.4826 41.79% 46.67% 44.09% 0.2510 -0.0328 0.0366 -0.0108 -
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4620 126 37 29.37% 0.5242 47.92% 8.39% 14.29% 0.1975 -0.1591 4 2 50.00% 0.5468 - 0.00% - 0.2110 -0.1469 0.0122 0.0286 0.2063
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4840 126 39 30.95% 0.4852 27.96% 9.49% 14.17% 0.2027 -0.1898 5 1 20.00% 0.5018 0.00% 0.00% - 0.2073 -0.1270 0.0628 0.0046 -0.1095
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5473 126 21 16.67% 0.4981 24.34% 27.01% 25.61% 0.2253 -0.3225 0 0 - 0.3573 10.53% 2.86% 4.49% 0.2348 -0.2764 0.0461 0.0237 -