Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed252_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed252_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5716
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 87
Valid Top10 y1/n 69.05%
Valid AUROC 0.5281
Valid Precision 50.52%
Valid Recall 47.12%
Valid F1 48.76%
Valid Brier 0.2500
Valid BSS -0.0001
Test @ Valid Top10 n 6
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 3
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 50.00%
Test AUROC 0.4769
Test Precision 49.60%
Test Recall 42.47%
Test F1 45.76%
Test Brier 0.2558
Test BSS -0.0230
BSS Decay -0.0229
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5716 | 126 | 87 | 69.05% | 0.5281 | 50.52% | 47.12% | 48.76% | 0.2500 | -0.0001 | 6 | 3 | 50.00% | 0.4769 | 49.60% | 42.47% | 45.76% | 0.2558 | -0.0230 | -0.0229 | 0.0117 | -0.1905 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5700 | 126 | 79 | 62.70% | 0.5287 | 52.49% | 38.78% | 44.61% | 0.2521 | -0.0086 | 3 | 2 | 66.67% | 0.5127 | 52.32% | 54.11% | 53.20% | 0.2501 | -0.0002 | 0.0083 | -0.0077 | 0.0397 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5662 | 126 | 62 | 49.21% | 0.5281 | 53.11% | 49.20% | 51.08% | 0.2521 | -0.0087 | 4 | 2 | 50.00% | 0.5686 | 54.81% | 50.68% | 52.67% | 0.2478 | 0.0086 | 0.0173 | -0.0095 | 0.0079 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5363 | 126 | 51 | 40.48% | 0.5219 | 41.23% | 26.02% | 31.91% | 0.2478 | -0.0435 | 14 | 7 | 50.00% | 0.5241 | 53.06% | 21.67% | 30.77% | 0.2457 | -0.0109 | 0.0327 | -0.0077 | 0.0952 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5490 | 126 | 61 | 48.41% | 0.4890 | 39.02% | 22.95% | 28.90% | 0.2498 | -0.0520 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.4147 | 35.29% | 35.00% | 35.15% | 0.2541 | -0.0454 | 0.0066 | 0.0071 | -0.4841 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5912 | 126 | 65 | 51.59% | 0.5393 | 46.94% | 42.42% | 44.56% | 0.2539 | -0.0694 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.4826 | 41.79% | 46.67% | 44.09% | 0.2510 | -0.0328 | 0.0366 | -0.0108 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4620 | 126 | 37 | 29.37% | 0.5242 | 47.92% | 8.39% | 14.29% | 0.1975 | -0.1591 | 4 | 2 | 50.00% | 0.5468 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.2110 | -0.1469 | 0.0122 | 0.0286 | 0.2063 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4840 | 126 | 39 | 30.95% | 0.4852 | 27.96% | 9.49% | 14.17% | 0.2027 | -0.1898 | 5 | 1 | 20.00% | 0.5018 | 0.00% | 0.00% | - | 0.2073 | -0.1270 | 0.0628 | 0.0046 | -0.1095 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5473 | 126 | 21 | 16.67% | 0.4981 | 24.34% | 27.01% | 25.61% | 0.2253 | -0.3225 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.3573 | 10.53% | 2.86% | 4.49% | 0.2348 | -0.2764 | 0.0461 | 0.0237 | - |