Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.6478
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 88
Valid Top10 y1/n 69.84%
Valid AUROC 0.6050
Valid Precision 56.83%
Valid Recall 61.10%
Valid F1 58.89%
Valid Brier 0.2443
Valid BSS 0.0204
Test @ Valid Top10 n 16
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 7
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 43.75%
Test AUROC 0.5064
Test Precision 40.23%
Test Recall 31.82%
Test F1 35.53%
Test Brier 0.2526
Test BSS -0.0699
BSS Decay -0.0902
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6478 | 126 | 88 | 69.84% | 0.6050 | 56.83% | 61.10% | 58.89% | 0.2443 | 0.0204 | 16 | 7 | 43.75% | 0.5064 | 40.23% | 31.82% | 35.53% | 0.2526 | -0.0699 | -0.0902 | 0.0162 | -0.2609 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6833 | 126 | 93 | 73.81% | 0.5880 | 62.55% | 66.34% | 64.39% | 0.2396 | 0.0187 | 1 | 1 | 100.00% | 0.5648 | 57.55% | 49.69% | 53.33% | 0.2450 | 0.0102 | -0.0085 | 0.0110 | 0.2619 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6190 | 126 | 83 | 65.87% | 0.5879 | 58.09% | 49.75% | 53.60% | 0.2459 | 0.0140 | 23 | 8 | 34.78% | 0.4979 | 35.77% | 40.00% | 37.77% | 0.2559 | -0.0841 | -0.0980 | 0.0200 | -0.3109 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5802 | 126 | 83 | 65.87% | 0.5490 | 51.71% | 47.91% | 49.74% | 0.2483 | 0.0044 | 20 | 13 | 65.00% | 0.5916 | 44.33% | 39.09% | 41.55% | 0.2405 | -0.0186 | -0.0230 | -0.0161 | -0.0087 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6469 | 126 | 91 | 72.22% | 0.5260 | 57.09% | 64.97% | 60.77% | 0.2489 | -0.0193 | 11 | 11 | 100.00% | 0.6179 | 59.60% | 73.29% | 65.74% | 0.2376 | 0.0400 | 0.0593 | -0.0231 | 0.2778 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6408 | 126 | 92 | 73.02% | 0.5541 | 64.19% | 51.17% | 56.95% | 0.2521 | -0.0325 | 21 | 15 | 71.43% | 0.5431 | 59.60% | 55.90% | 57.69% | 0.2530 | -0.0220 | 0.0105 | 0.0010 | -0.0159 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5288 | 126 | 52 | 41.27% | 0.6030 | 41.36% | 24.53% | 30.80% | 0.2031 | -0.0664 | 30 | 11 | 36.67% | 0.6167 | 33.33% | 25.00% | 28.57% | 0.1775 | -0.1996 | -0.1332 | -0.0638 | -0.0460 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5554 | 126 | 49 | 38.89% | 0.5699 | 38.40% | 28.26% | 32.56% | 0.2113 | -0.1096 | 24 | 2 | 8.33% | 0.5204 | 12.50% | 9.62% | 10.87% | 0.2104 | -0.4223 | -0.3127 | -0.0034 | -0.3056 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4996 | 126 | 51 | 40.48% | 0.5590 | 40.80% | 15.84% | 22.82% | 0.2124 | -0.1151 | 22 | 5 | 22.73% | 0.5899 | 22.73% | 9.62% | 13.51% | 0.2031 | -0.3729 | -0.2579 | -0.0279 | -0.1775 |