Phase2 STAGE2

TECL

ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.

Current Winner

Model logistic_regression_gd

Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore

Own price_volume_core

Underlying underlying_trend_core

Label upmove_h10_abs10

WF fixed504_monthly

Prep winsorize_p02_p98

Quality

Valid Top10 p 0.6478

Valid Top10 n 126

Valid Top10 y1 88

Valid Top10 y1/n 69.84%

Valid AUROC 0.6050

Valid Precision 56.83%

Valid Recall 61.10%

Valid F1 58.89%

Valid Brier 0.2443

Valid BSS 0.0204

Test @ Valid Top10 n 16

Test @ Valid Top10 y1 7

Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 43.75%

Test AUROC 0.5064

Test Precision 40.23%

Test Recall 31.82%

Test F1 35.53%

Test Brier 0.2526

Test BSS -0.0699

BSS Decay -0.0902

Winner Model Context Own Underlying Label WF Prep Valid Top10 p Valid Top10 n Valid Top10 y1 Valid Top10 y1/n Valid AUC Valid P Valid R Valid F1 Valid Brier Valid BSS Test @VTop10 n Test @VTop10 y1 Test @VTop10 y1/n Test AUC Test P Test R Test F1 Test Brier Test BSS BSS Decay LL Decay Top10 Decay
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h10_abs10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6478 126 88 69.84% 0.6050 56.83% 61.10% 58.89% 0.2443 0.0204 16 7 43.75% 0.5064 40.23% 31.82% 35.53% 0.2526 -0.0699 -0.0902 0.0162 -0.2609
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h5_abs5 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6833 126 93 73.81% 0.5880 62.55% 66.34% 64.39% 0.2396 0.0187 1 1 100.00% 0.5648 57.55% 49.69% 53.33% 0.2450 0.0102 -0.0085 0.0110 0.2619
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h10_abs10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6190 126 83 65.87% 0.5879 58.09% 49.75% 53.60% 0.2459 0.0140 23 8 34.78% 0.4979 35.77% 40.00% 37.77% 0.2559 -0.0841 -0.0980 0.0200 -0.3109
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h10_abs10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5802 126 83 65.87% 0.5490 51.71% 47.91% 49.74% 0.2483 0.0044 20 13 65.00% 0.5916 44.33% 39.09% 41.55% 0.2405 -0.0186 -0.0230 -0.0161 -0.0087
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h5_abs5 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6469 126 91 72.22% 0.5260 57.09% 64.97% 60.77% 0.2489 -0.0193 11 11 100.00% 0.6179 59.60% 73.29% 65.74% 0.2376 0.0400 0.0593 -0.0231 0.2778
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h5_abs5 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6408 126 92 73.02% 0.5541 64.19% 51.17% 56.95% 0.2521 -0.0325 21 15 71.43% 0.5431 59.60% 55.90% 57.69% 0.2530 -0.0220 0.0105 0.0010 -0.0159
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5288 126 52 41.27% 0.6030 41.36% 24.53% 30.80% 0.2031 -0.0664 30 11 36.67% 0.6167 33.33% 25.00% 28.57% 0.1775 -0.1996 -0.1332 -0.0638 -0.0460
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5554 126 49 38.89% 0.5699 38.40% 28.26% 32.56% 0.2113 -0.1096 24 2 8.33% 0.5204 12.50% 9.62% 10.87% 0.2104 -0.4223 -0.3127 -0.0034 -0.3056
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4996 126 51 40.48% 0.5590 40.80% 15.84% 22.82% 0.2124 -0.1151 22 5 22.73% 0.5899 22.73% 9.62% 13.51% 0.2031 -0.3729 -0.2579 -0.0279 -0.1775