Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5862
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 68
Valid Top10 y1/n 53.97%
Valid AUROC 0.5397
Valid Precision 53.78%
Valid Recall 51.70%
Valid F1 52.72%
Valid Brier 0.2510
Valid BSS -0.0044
Test @ Valid Top10 n 3
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 1
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 33.33%
Test AUROC 0.5243
Test Precision 49.38%
Test Recall 32.26%
Test F1 39.02%
Test Brier 0.2464
Test BSS -0.0094
BSS Decay -0.0050
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5862 | 126 | 68 | 53.97% | 0.5397 | 53.78% | 51.70% | 52.72% | 0.2510 | -0.0044 | 3 | 1 | 33.33% | 0.5243 | 49.38% | 32.26% | 39.02% | 0.2464 | -0.0094 | -0.0050 | -0.0101 | -0.2063 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5705 | 126 | 78 | 61.90% | 0.5322 | 53.24% | 37.16% | 43.77% | 0.2524 | -0.0097 | 3 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.4937 | 43.82% | 31.45% | 36.62% | 0.2518 | -0.0314 | -0.0218 | -0.0037 | -0.6190 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5796 | 126 | 80 | 63.49% | 0.5132 | 49.49% | 47.17% | 48.30% | 0.2557 | -0.0230 | 4 | 2 | 50.00% | 0.4594 | 40.78% | 33.87% | 37.00% | 0.2583 | -0.0581 | -0.0351 | 0.0062 | -0.1349 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5480 | 126 | 58 | 46.03% | 0.5418 | 40.29% | 24.83% | 30.73% | 0.2385 | -0.0453 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.4575 | 35.29% | 13.48% | 19.51% | 0.2386 | -0.1174 | -0.0721 | -0.0013 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5389 | 126 | 57 | 45.24% | 0.5213 | 39.67% | 27.31% | 32.35% | 0.2438 | -0.0685 | 5 | 3 | 60.00% | 0.5949 | 45.83% | 12.36% | 19.47% | 0.2274 | -0.0650 | 0.0035 | -0.0366 | 0.1476 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5942 | 126 | 71 | 56.35% | 0.5630 | 49.74% | 42.89% | 46.06% | 0.2439 | -0.0690 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.4884 | 26.00% | 14.61% | 18.71% | 0.2373 | -0.1113 | -0.0423 | -0.0164 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4956 | 126 | 40 | 31.75% | 0.5404 | 27.88% | 10.51% | 15.26% | 0.1947 | -0.1367 | 6 | 2 | 33.33% | 0.6467 | 40.00% | 4.35% | 7.84% | 0.1605 | -0.1960 | -0.0593 | -0.0851 | 0.0159 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4733 | 126 | 40 | 31.75% | 0.5133 | 43.06% | 11.23% | 17.82% | 0.2026 | -0.1832 | 2 | 1 | 50.00% | 0.7017 | 100.00% | 2.17% | 4.26% | 0.1592 | -0.1860 | -0.0028 | -0.0993 | 0.1825 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5415 | 126 | 32 | 25.40% | 0.5406 | 29.60% | 29.71% | 29.66% | 0.2150 | -0.2556 | 7 | 2 | 28.57% | 0.5019 | 30.77% | 8.70% | 13.56% | 0.1722 | -0.2833 | -0.0277 | -0.1024 | 0.0317 |