Phase2 STAGE2

SQQQ

ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.

Current Winner

Model logistic_regression_gd

Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore

Own price_volume_core

Underlying disabled

Label upmove_h5_abs5

WF expanding_monthly

Prep winsorize_p02_p98

Quality

Valid Top10 p 0.5862

Valid Top10 n 126

Valid Top10 y1 68

Valid Top10 y1/n 53.97%

Valid AUROC 0.5397

Valid Precision 53.78%

Valid Recall 51.70%

Valid F1 52.72%

Valid Brier 0.2510

Valid BSS -0.0044

Test @ Valid Top10 n 3

Test @ Valid Top10 y1 1

Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 33.33%

Test AUROC 0.5243

Test Precision 49.38%

Test Recall 32.26%

Test F1 39.02%

Test Brier 0.2464

Test BSS -0.0094

BSS Decay -0.0050

Winner Model Context Own Underlying Label WF Prep Valid Top10 p Valid Top10 n Valid Top10 y1 Valid Top10 y1/n Valid AUC Valid P Valid R Valid F1 Valid Brier Valid BSS Test @VTop10 n Test @VTop10 y1 Test @VTop10 y1/n Test AUC Test P Test R Test F1 Test Brier Test BSS BSS Decay LL Decay Top10 Decay
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5862 126 68 53.97% 0.5397 53.78% 51.70% 52.72% 0.2510 -0.0044 3 1 33.33% 0.5243 49.38% 32.26% 39.02% 0.2464 -0.0094 -0.0050 -0.0101 -0.2063
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5705 126 78 61.90% 0.5322 53.24% 37.16% 43.77% 0.2524 -0.0097 3 0 0.00% 0.4937 43.82% 31.45% 36.62% 0.2518 -0.0314 -0.0218 -0.0037 -0.6190
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5796 126 80 63.49% 0.5132 49.49% 47.17% 48.30% 0.2557 -0.0230 4 2 50.00% 0.4594 40.78% 33.87% 37.00% 0.2583 -0.0581 -0.0351 0.0062 -0.1349
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5480 126 58 46.03% 0.5418 40.29% 24.83% 30.73% 0.2385 -0.0453 0 0 - 0.4575 35.29% 13.48% 19.51% 0.2386 -0.1174 -0.0721 -0.0013 -
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5389 126 57 45.24% 0.5213 39.67% 27.31% 32.35% 0.2438 -0.0685 5 3 60.00% 0.5949 45.83% 12.36% 19.47% 0.2274 -0.0650 0.0035 -0.0366 0.1476
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5942 126 71 56.35% 0.5630 49.74% 42.89% 46.06% 0.2439 -0.0690 0 0 - 0.4884 26.00% 14.61% 18.71% 0.2373 -0.1113 -0.0423 -0.0164 -
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4956 126 40 31.75% 0.5404 27.88% 10.51% 15.26% 0.1947 -0.1367 6 2 33.33% 0.6467 40.00% 4.35% 7.84% 0.1605 -0.1960 -0.0593 -0.0851 0.0159
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4733 126 40 31.75% 0.5133 43.06% 11.23% 17.82% 0.2026 -0.1832 2 1 50.00% 0.7017 100.00% 2.17% 4.26% 0.1592 -0.1860 -0.0028 -0.0993 0.1825
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5415 126 32 25.40% 0.5406 29.60% 29.71% 29.66% 0.2150 -0.2556 7 2 28.57% 0.5019 30.77% 8.70% 13.56% 0.1722 -0.2833 -0.0277 -0.1024 0.0317