Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.6343
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 74
Valid Top10 y1/n 58.73%
Valid AUROC 0.5517
Valid Precision 55.08%
Valid Recall 70.81%
Valid F1 61.96%
Valid Brier 0.2501
Valid BSS -0.0016
Test @ Valid Top10 n 0
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 0
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n -
Test AUROC 0.5251
Test Precision 49.07%
Test Recall 93.62%
Test F1 64.39%
Test Brier 0.2502
Test BSS -0.0011
BSS Decay 0.0005
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6343 | 126 | 74 | 58.73% | 0.5517 | 55.08% | 70.81% | 61.96% | 0.2501 | -0.0016 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.5251 | 49.07% | 93.62% | 64.39% | 0.2502 | -0.0011 | 0.0005 | -0.0001 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.7021 | 126 | 84 | 66.67% | 0.5423 | 63.23% | 78.62% | 70.09% | 0.2397 | -0.0185 | 6 | 5 | 83.33% | 0.5654 | 61.43% | 100.00% | 76.11% | 0.2346 | 0.0098 | 0.0283 | -0.0108 | 0.1667 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6139 | 126 | 71 | 56.35% | 0.5168 | 51.77% | 40.40% | 45.38% | 0.2548 | -0.0205 | 6 | 3 | 50.00% | 0.4074 | 45.62% | 70.21% | 55.31% | 0.2542 | -0.0171 | 0.0034 | -0.0019 | -0.0635 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6584 | 126 | 71 | 56.35% | 0.4860 | 50.35% | 55.30% | 52.71% | 0.2582 | -0.0341 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.5081 | 51.54% | 47.52% | 49.45% | 0.2547 | -0.0193 | 0.0149 | -0.0075 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6693 | 126 | 88 | 69.84% | 0.5103 | 62.94% | 57.62% | 60.16% | 0.2472 | -0.0502 | 3 | 3 | 100.00% | 0.4763 | 61.25% | 92.22% | 73.61% | 0.2444 | -0.0317 | 0.0185 | -0.0057 | 0.3016 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6902 | 126 | 88 | 69.84% | 0.5070 | 61.27% | 61.59% | 61.43% | 0.2506 | -0.0644 | 4 | 2 | 50.00% | 0.4944 | 61.00% | 67.78% | 64.21% | 0.2471 | -0.0429 | 0.0214 | -0.0078 | -0.1984 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4858 | 126 | 41 | 32.54% | 0.5137 | 36.07% | 5.57% | 9.65% | 0.2297 | -0.0665 | 9 | 4 | 44.44% | 0.4968 | 66.67% | 2.35% | 4.55% | 0.2323 | -0.1168 | -0.0502 | 0.0051 | 0.1190 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5192 | 126 | 40 | 31.75% | 0.4921 | 31.46% | 16.96% | 22.04% | 0.2372 | -0.1011 | 20 | 4 | 20.00% | 0.5418 | 24.32% | 10.59% | 14.75% | 0.2286 | -0.0986 | 0.0025 | -0.0225 | -0.1175 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5619 | 126 | 53 | 42.06% | 0.5177 | 29.74% | 29.37% | 29.55% | 0.2438 | -0.1319 | 5 | 1 | 20.00% | 0.5352 | 39.29% | 38.82% | 39.05% | 0.2335 | -0.1223 | 0.0096 | -0.0240 | -0.2206 |