Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5731
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 75
Valid Top10 y1/n 59.52%
Valid AUROC 0.5697
Valid Precision 54.83%
Valid Recall 52.39%
Valid F1 53.58%
Valid Brier 0.2460
Valid BSS 0.0148
Test @ Valid Top10 n 0
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 0
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n -
Test AUROC 0.5544
Test Precision 64.52%
Test Recall 25.32%
Test F1 36.36%
Test Brier 0.2513
Test BSS -0.0114
BSS Decay -0.0262
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5731 | 126 | 75 | 59.52% | 0.5697 | 54.83% | 52.39% | 53.58% | 0.2460 | 0.0148 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.5544 | 64.52% | 25.32% | 36.36% | 0.2513 | -0.0114 | -0.0262 | 0.0108 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5439 | 126 | 68 | 53.97% | 0.5866 | 47.30% | 33.41% | 39.16% | 0.2307 | -0.0082 | 4 | 2 | 50.00% | 0.4690 | 66.67% | 3.54% | 6.72% | 0.2464 | -0.0333 | -0.0251 | 0.0335 | -0.0397 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5859 | 126 | 69 | 54.76% | 0.5243 | 50.71% | 52.72% | 51.70% | 0.2530 | -0.0132 | 19 | 14 | 73.68% | 0.5113 | 53.63% | 60.76% | 56.97% | 0.2494 | -0.0038 | 0.0095 | -0.0076 | 0.1892 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5853 | 126 | 73 | 57.94% | 0.5078 | 49.47% | 45.96% | 47.65% | 0.2593 | -0.0385 | 48 | 31 | 64.58% | 0.5921 | 60.49% | 62.03% | 61.25% | 0.2433 | 0.0206 | 0.0592 | -0.0347 | 0.0665 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5490 | 126 | 56 | 44.44% | 0.5283 | 43.30% | 31.17% | 36.25% | 0.2456 | -0.0733 | 19 | 4 | 21.05% | 0.3830 | 23.40% | 9.73% | 13.75% | 0.2614 | -0.0963 | -0.0229 | 0.0297 | -0.2339 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5584 | 126 | 63 | 50.00% | 0.5079 | 39.23% | 29.82% | 33.89% | 0.2478 | -0.0829 | 43 | 18 | 41.86% | 0.4275 | 35.37% | 25.66% | 29.74% | 0.2643 | -0.1084 | -0.0256 | 0.0315 | -0.0814 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4802 | 126 | 36 | 28.57% | 0.5863 | 25.00% | 8.30% | 12.46% | 0.1672 | -0.1231 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.3680 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1738 | -0.0672 | 0.0559 | 0.0252 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4907 | 126 | 41 | 32.54% | 0.5709 | 33.98% | 15.28% | 21.08% | 0.1775 | -0.1921 | 5 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.3294 | 0.00% | 0.00% | - | 0.2157 | -0.3240 | -0.1319 | 0.0840 | -0.3254 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5008 | 126 | 17 | 13.49% | 0.5035 | 13.95% | 7.86% | 10.06% | 0.1840 | -0.2359 | 18 | 2 | 11.11% | 0.3143 | 11.11% | 3.39% | 5.19% | 0.2275 | -0.3964 | -0.1605 | 0.1174 | -0.0238 |