Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.7034
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 91
Valid Top10 y1/n 72.22%
Valid AUROC 0.6055
Valid Precision 63.48%
Valid Recall 65.15%
Valid F1 64.30%
Valid Brier 0.2399
Valid BSS 0.0187
Test @ Valid Top10 n 0
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 0
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n -
Test AUROC 0.4902
Test Precision 47.13%
Test Recall 51.39%
Test F1 49.17%
Test Brier 0.2506
Test BSS -0.0025
BSS Decay -0.0212
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.7034 | 126 | 91 | 72.22% | 0.6055 | 63.48% | 65.15% | 64.30% | 0.2399 | 0.0187 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.4902 | 47.13% | 51.39% | 49.17% | 0.2506 | -0.0025 | -0.0212 | 0.0216 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6249 | 126 | 87 | 69.05% | 0.5506 | 57.43% | 78.01% | 66.16% | 0.2441 | 0.0014 | 17 | 9 | 52.94% | 0.5357 | 52.69% | 95.14% | 67.82% | 0.2509 | -0.0034 | -0.0049 | 0.0140 | -0.1611 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.7141 | 126 | 98 | 77.78% | 0.5572 | 64.84% | 69.03% | 66.87% | 0.2358 | -0.0221 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.4991 | 57.83% | 77.33% | 66.17% | 0.2487 | -0.0259 | -0.0037 | 0.0264 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.7059 | 126 | 94 | 74.60% | 0.5062 | 63.17% | 91.29% | 74.67% | 0.2362 | -0.0243 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.5236 | 58.70% | 100.00% | 73.98% | 0.2417 | 0.0029 | 0.0271 | 0.0113 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6147 | 126 | 86 | 68.25% | 0.5063 | 57.92% | 47.03% | 51.91% | 0.2571 | -0.0519 | 21 | 15 | 71.43% | 0.5245 | 52.59% | 49.31% | 50.90% | 0.2493 | 0.0029 | 0.0548 | -0.0209 | 0.0317 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6489 | 126 | 90 | 71.43% | 0.5099 | 63.73% | 60.32% | 61.98% | 0.2451 | -0.0628 | 19 | 12 | 63.16% | 0.4761 | 58.70% | 62.79% | 60.67% | 0.2586 | -0.0667 | -0.0039 | 0.0328 | -0.0827 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5015 | 126 | 47 | 37.30% | 0.4880 | 37.86% | 12.02% | 18.24% | 0.2422 | -0.0640 | 18 | 9 | 50.00% | 0.6530 | 50.00% | 9.57% | 16.07% | 0.2166 | 0.0148 | 0.0788 | -0.0538 | 0.1270 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5486 | 126 | 57 | 45.24% | 0.5605 | 42.59% | 31.29% | 36.08% | 0.2472 | -0.0857 | 28 | 9 | 32.14% | 0.5754 | 38.68% | 43.62% | 41.00% | 0.2373 | -0.0795 | 0.0061 | -0.0327 | -0.1310 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5403 | 126 | 39 | 30.95% | 0.4624 | 34.88% | 23.81% | 28.30% | 0.2620 | -0.1510 | 44 | 15 | 34.09% | 0.4383 | 20.59% | 22.34% | 21.43% | 0.2643 | -0.2023 | -0.0513 | -0.0025 | 0.0314 |