Phase2 STAGE2

NAIL

ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.

Current Winner

Model logistic_regression_gd

Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore

Own trend_breakout_volume_full

Underlying disabled

Label upmove_h10_abs10

WF fixed504_monthly

Prep winsorize_p02_p98

Quality

Valid Top10 p 0.7034

Valid Top10 n 126

Valid Top10 y1 91

Valid Top10 y1/n 72.22%

Valid AUROC 0.6055

Valid Precision 63.48%

Valid Recall 65.15%

Valid F1 64.30%

Valid Brier 0.2399

Valid BSS 0.0187

Test @ Valid Top10 n 0

Test @ Valid Top10 y1 0

Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n -

Test AUROC 0.4902

Test Precision 47.13%

Test Recall 51.39%

Test F1 49.17%

Test Brier 0.2506

Test BSS -0.0025

BSS Decay -0.0212

Winner Model Context Own Underlying Label WF Prep Valid Top10 p Valid Top10 n Valid Top10 y1 Valid Top10 y1/n Valid AUC Valid P Valid R Valid F1 Valid Brier Valid BSS Test @VTop10 n Test @VTop10 y1 Test @VTop10 y1/n Test AUC Test P Test R Test F1 Test Brier Test BSS BSS Decay LL Decay Top10 Decay
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.7034 126 91 72.22% 0.6055 63.48% 65.15% 64.30% 0.2399 0.0187 0 0 - 0.4902 47.13% 51.39% 49.17% 0.2506 -0.0025 -0.0212 0.0216 -
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h10_abs10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6249 126 87 69.05% 0.5506 57.43% 78.01% 66.16% 0.2441 0.0014 17 9 52.94% 0.5357 52.69% 95.14% 67.82% 0.2509 -0.0034 -0.0049 0.0140 -0.1611
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.7141 126 98 77.78% 0.5572 64.84% 69.03% 66.87% 0.2358 -0.0221 0 0 - 0.4991 57.83% 77.33% 66.17% 0.2487 -0.0259 -0.0037 0.0264 -
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h5_abs5 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.7059 126 94 74.60% 0.5062 63.17% 91.29% 74.67% 0.2362 -0.0243 0 0 - 0.5236 58.70% 100.00% 73.98% 0.2417 0.0029 0.0271 0.0113 -
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6147 126 86 68.25% 0.5063 57.92% 47.03% 51.91% 0.2571 -0.0519 21 15 71.43% 0.5245 52.59% 49.31% 50.90% 0.2493 0.0029 0.0548 -0.0209 0.0317
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6489 126 90 71.43% 0.5099 63.73% 60.32% 61.98% 0.2451 -0.0628 19 12 63.16% 0.4761 58.70% 62.79% 60.67% 0.2586 -0.0667 -0.0039 0.0328 -0.0827
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5015 126 47 37.30% 0.4880 37.86% 12.02% 18.24% 0.2422 -0.0640 18 9 50.00% 0.6530 50.00% 9.57% 16.07% 0.2166 0.0148 0.0788 -0.0538 0.1270
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5486 126 57 45.24% 0.5605 42.59% 31.29% 36.08% 0.2472 -0.0857 28 9 32.14% 0.5754 38.68% 43.62% 41.00% 0.2373 -0.0795 0.0061 -0.0327 -0.1310
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5403 126 39 30.95% 0.4624 34.88% 23.81% 28.30% 0.2620 -0.1510 44 15 34.09% 0.4383 20.59% 22.34% 21.43% 0.2643 -0.2023 -0.0513 -0.0025 0.0314