Phase2 STAGE2

LABU

ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.

Current Winner

Model logistic_regression_gd

Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore

Own trend_volatility_core

Underlying underlying_trend_breakout

Label upmove_h10_abs10

WF expanding_monthly

Prep winsorize_p02_p98

Quality

Valid Top10 p 0.5831

Valid Top10 n 126

Valid Top10 y1 83

Valid Top10 y1/n 65.87%

Valid AUROC 0.6011

Valid Precision 62.17%

Valid Recall 56.01%

Valid F1 58.93%

Valid Brier 0.2427

Valid BSS 0.0257

Test @ Valid Top10 n 7

Test @ Valid Top10 y1 5

Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 71.43%

Test AUROC 0.5316

Test Precision 72.92%

Test Recall 21.08%

Test F1 32.71%

Test Brier 0.2572

Test BSS -0.0535

BSS Decay -0.0792

Winner Model Context Own Underlying Label WF Prep Valid Top10 p Valid Top10 n Valid Top10 y1 Valid Top10 y1/n Valid AUC Valid P Valid R Valid F1 Valid Brier Valid BSS Test @VTop10 n Test @VTop10 y1 Test @VTop10 y1/n Test AUC Test P Test R Test F1 Test Brier Test BSS BSS Decay LL Decay Top10 Decay
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_volatility_core underlying_trend_breakout upmove_h10_abs10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5831 126 83 65.87% 0.6011 62.17% 56.01% 58.93% 0.2427 0.0257 7 5 71.43% 0.5316 72.92% 21.08% 32.71% 0.2572 -0.0535 -0.0792 0.0295 0.0556
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_volatility_core underlying_trend_breakout upmove_h5_abs5 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.7081 126 95 75.40% 0.6068 69.09% 88.37% 77.55% 0.2260 0.0073 15 9 60.00% 0.4895 67.23% 80.20% 73.15% 0.2408 -0.0932 -0.1005 0.0302 -0.1540
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_volatility_core underlying_trend_breakout upmove_h10_abs10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6060 126 76 60.32% 0.5586 57.09% 47.75% 52.00% 0.2518 -0.0109 73 42 57.53% 0.4980 57.46% 46.39% 51.33% 0.2617 -0.0718 -0.0609 0.0201 -0.0278
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_volatility_core underlying_trend_breakout barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5031 126 51 40.48% 0.5591 39.42% 13.40% 20.00% 0.2213 -0.0166 5 2 40.00% 0.4864 40.00% 1.83% 3.51% 0.2447 -0.0404 -0.0239 0.0531 -0.0048
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_volatility_core underlying_trend_breakout upmove_h5_abs5 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.7259 126 98 77.78% 0.5631 67.01% 80.54% 73.15% 0.2327 -0.0223 3 3 100.00% 0.5425 70.13% 54.82% 61.54% 0.2442 -0.1086 -0.0863 0.0239 0.2222
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_volatility_core underlying_trend_breakout upmove_h10_abs10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6205 126 72 57.14% 0.5052 53.40% 55.41% 54.38% 0.2551 -0.0238 15 13 86.67% 0.5682 63.86% 31.93% 42.57% 0.2509 -0.0277 -0.0039 -0.0082 0.2952
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_volatility_core underlying_trend_breakout barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5270 126 57 45.24% 0.5439 37.96% 23.08% 28.70% 0.2315 -0.0633 73 21 28.77% 0.4267 28.00% 25.69% 26.79% 0.2653 -0.1278 -0.0645 0.0661 -0.1647
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_volatility_core underlying_trend_breakout barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5145 126 48 38.10% 0.5061 37.44% 18.11% 24.41% 0.2385 -0.0953 33 13 39.39% 0.5369 41.67% 18.35% 25.48% 0.2457 -0.0446 0.0507 0.0107 0.0130
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_volatility_core underlying_trend_breakout upmove_h5_abs5 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6682 126 86 68.25% 0.5191 67.18% 58.38% 62.48% 0.2497 -0.0969 15 12 80.00% 0.5534 69.86% 51.78% 59.48% 0.2444 -0.1093 -0.0124 -0.0117 0.1175