Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.6012
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 75
Valid Top10 y1/n 59.52%
Valid AUROC 0.5435
Valid Precision 51.93%
Valid Recall 60.06%
Valid F1 55.70%
Valid Brier 0.2494
Valid BSS 0.0024
Test @ Valid Top10 n 4
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 4
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 100.00%
Test AUROC 0.4976
Test Precision 65.62%
Test Recall 33.51%
Test F1 44.37%
Test Brier 0.2495
Test BSS -0.0853
BSS Decay -0.0876
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6012 | 126 | 75 | 59.52% | 0.5435 | 51.93% | 60.06% | 55.70% | 0.2494 | 0.0024 | 4 | 4 | 100.00% | 0.4976 | 65.62% | 33.51% | 44.37% | 0.2495 | -0.0853 | -0.0876 | -0.0001 | 0.4048 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5414 | 126 | 78 | 61.90% | 0.5245 | 53.04% | 41.85% | 46.79% | 0.2500 | 0.0000 | 13 | 9 | 69.23% | 0.5454 | 71.72% | 37.77% | 49.48% | 0.2507 | -0.0905 | -0.0905 | 0.0014 | 0.0733 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5585 | 126 | 68 | 53.97% | 0.5921 | 46.26% | 40.57% | 43.23% | 0.2376 | -0.0006 | 18 | 12 | 66.67% | 0.5448 | 65.22% | 34.09% | 44.78% | 0.2515 | -0.0583 | -0.0577 | 0.0268 | 0.1270 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5566 | 126 | 74 | 58.73% | 0.5661 | 47.00% | 36.89% | 41.33% | 0.2413 | -0.0164 | 64 | 37 | 57.81% | 0.5960 | 70.59% | 61.36% | 65.65% | 0.2525 | -0.0624 | -0.0461 | 0.0233 | -0.0092 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5495 | 126 | 72 | 57.14% | 0.5406 | 50.47% | 32.79% | 39.75% | 0.2416 | -0.0174 | 4 | 3 | 75.00% | 0.5351 | 83.33% | 5.68% | 10.64% | 0.2746 | -0.1556 | -0.1382 | 0.0671 | 0.1786 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5785 | 126 | 74 | 58.73% | 0.5349 | 53.15% | 47.12% | 49.96% | 0.2554 | -0.0216 | 92 | 68 | 73.91% | 0.6122 | 71.68% | 65.96% | 68.70% | 0.2329 | -0.0130 | 0.0086 | -0.0476 | 0.1518 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4275 | 126 | 23 | 18.25% | 0.4445 | 20.00% | 0.79% | 1.52% | 0.1890 | -0.1763 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.6113 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.2730 | -0.1156 | 0.0607 | 0.1862 | -0.1825 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4952 | 126 | 21 | 16.67% | 0.5260 | 15.52% | 7.11% | 9.76% | 0.1905 | -0.1854 | 101 | 47 | 46.53% | 0.5502 | 48.15% | 31.71% | 38.24% | 0.2463 | -0.0068 | 0.1786 | 0.1214 | 0.2987 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4819 | 126 | 31 | 24.60% | 0.5348 | 13.56% | 3.16% | 5.13% | 0.1926 | -0.1985 | 80 | 40 | 50.00% | 0.5477 | 58.97% | 18.70% | 28.40% | 0.2528 | -0.0330 | 0.1655 | 0.1292 | 0.2540 |