Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5586
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 67
Valid Top10 y1/n 53.17%
Valid AUROC 0.5862
Valid Precision 49.56%
Valid Recall 31.88%
Valid F1 38.80%
Valid Brier 0.2417
Valid BSS 0.0070
Test @ Valid Top10 n 11
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 5
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 45.45%
Test AUROC 0.4582
Test Precision 43.40%
Test Recall 20.00%
Test F1 27.38%
Test Brier 0.2502
Test BSS -0.0495
BSS Decay -0.0565
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5586 | 126 | 67 | 53.17% | 0.5862 | 49.56% | 31.88% | 38.80% | 0.2417 | 0.0070 | 11 | 5 | 45.45% | 0.4582 | 43.40% | 20.00% | 27.38% | 0.2502 | -0.0495 | -0.0565 | 0.0152 | -0.0772 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5790 | 126 | 68 | 53.97% | 0.5582 | 47.24% | 37.38% | 41.74% | 0.2449 | -0.0060 | 21 | 6 | 28.57% | 0.4959 | 41.38% | 31.30% | 35.64% | 0.2578 | -0.0811 | -0.0750 | 0.0284 | -0.2540 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5347 | 126 | 62 | 49.21% | 0.5536 | 50.64% | 37.57% | 43.14% | 0.2510 | -0.0313 | 8 | 4 | 50.00% | 0.5468 | 51.61% | 13.91% | 21.92% | 0.2418 | -0.0142 | 0.0171 | -0.0226 | 0.0079 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5733 | 126 | 51 | 40.48% | 0.5511 | 41.18% | 31.59% | 35.75% | 0.2365 | -0.0620 | 12 | 1 | 8.33% | 0.5160 | 16.22% | 7.59% | 10.34% | 0.2278 | -0.1445 | -0.0825 | -0.0182 | -0.3214 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5342 | 126 | 49 | 38.89% | 0.5447 | 43.14% | 26.13% | 32.54% | 0.2368 | -0.0635 | 9 | 3 | 33.33% | 0.4774 | 35.29% | 7.59% | 12.50% | 0.2206 | -0.1083 | -0.0448 | -0.0366 | -0.0556 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5124 | 126 | 54 | 42.86% | 0.5211 | 38.07% | 17.81% | 24.27% | 0.2414 | -0.0840 | 4 | 2 | 50.00% | 0.4808 | 33.33% | 2.53% | 4.71% | 0.2255 | -0.1330 | -0.0490 | -0.0414 | 0.0714 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4805 | 126 | 29 | 23.02% | 0.5332 | 25.00% | 8.15% | 12.30% | 0.1832 | -0.2138 | 3 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.5594 | 0.00% | 0.00% | - | 0.1199 | -0.1516 | 0.0622 | -0.1516 | -0.2302 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5259 | 126 | 26 | 20.63% | 0.5591 | 27.84% | 21.03% | 23.96% | 0.1877 | -0.2439 | 4 | 1 | 25.00% | 0.3690 | 20.00% | 2.94% | 5.13% | 0.1516 | -0.4558 | -0.2119 | -0.0725 | 0.0437 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4259 | 126 | 29 | 23.02% | 0.4184 | 40.00% | 4.29% | 7.75% | 0.1888 | -0.2513 | 19 | 3 | 15.79% | 0.7239 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1199 | -0.1518 | 0.0995 | -0.1709 | -0.0723 |