Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.6024
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 82
Valid Top10 y1/n 65.08%
Valid AUROC 0.5750
Valid Precision 54.44%
Valid Recall 47.45%
Valid F1 50.70%
Valid Brier 0.2452
Valid BSS 0.0181
Test @ Valid Top10 n 27
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 16
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 59.26%
Test AUROC 0.6198
Test Precision 50.85%
Test Recall 50.42%
Test F1 50.63%
Test Brier 0.2375
Test BSS 0.0152
BSS Decay -0.0029
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6024 | 126 | 82 | 65.08% | 0.5750 | 54.44% | 47.45% | 50.70% | 0.2452 | 0.0181 | 27 | 16 | 59.26% | 0.6198 | 50.85% | 50.42% | 50.63% | 0.2375 | 0.0152 | -0.0029 | -0.0150 | -0.0582 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5838 | 126 | 70 | 55.56% | 0.6048 | 49.11% | 40.76% | 44.55% | 0.2320 | 0.0137 | 11 | 7 | 63.64% | 0.7306 | 43.75% | 33.33% | 37.84% | 0.2029 | -0.1873 | -0.2009 | -0.0617 | 0.0808 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6097 | 126 | 86 | 68.25% | 0.5734 | 54.74% | 51.40% | 53.02% | 0.2467 | 0.0119 | 15 | 13 | 86.67% | 0.6294 | 54.55% | 60.50% | 57.37% | 0.2391 | 0.0085 | -0.0035 | -0.0180 | 0.1841 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5705 | 126 | 85 | 67.46% | 0.5668 | 57.46% | 43.16% | 49.29% | 0.2471 | 0.0103 | 19 | 17 | 89.47% | 0.6254 | 52.58% | 42.86% | 47.22% | 0.2385 | 0.0112 | 0.0008 | -0.0183 | 0.2201 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5394 | 126 | 77 | 61.11% | 0.5744 | 53.78% | 28.36% | 37.14% | 0.2360 | -0.0032 | 10 | 4 | 40.00% | 0.7043 | 46.15% | 19.05% | 26.97% | 0.1843 | -0.0786 | -0.0754 | -0.1135 | -0.2111 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5865 | 126 | 70 | 55.56% | 0.5678 | 44.23% | 38.66% | 41.26% | 0.2413 | -0.0258 | 30 | 23 | 76.67% | 0.7675 | 46.25% | 58.73% | 51.75% | 0.1827 | -0.0689 | -0.0431 | -0.1308 | 0.2111 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4359 | 126 | 45 | 35.71% | 0.6000 | 42.42% | 5.67% | 10.00% | 0.1672 | -0.0595 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.6736 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.0832 | -0.0501 | 0.0095 | -0.2060 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4913 | 126 | 35 | 27.78% | 0.6140 | 29.20% | 13.36% | 18.33% | 0.1765 | -0.1183 | 19 | 5 | 26.32% | 0.6704 | 31.25% | 20.00% | 24.39% | 0.1443 | -0.8200 | -0.7017 | -0.0620 | -0.0146 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5276 | 126 | 33 | 26.19% | 0.5533 | 23.66% | 17.81% | 20.32% | 0.1908 | -0.2091 | 20 | 8 | 40.00% | 0.7775 | 37.50% | 36.00% | 36.73% | 0.1209 | -0.5256 | -0.3165 | -0.1675 | 0.1381 |