Phase2 STAGE2

FAS

ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.

Current Winner

Model logistic_regression_gd

Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore

Own price_volume_core

Underlying underlying_trend_core

Label upmove_h5_abs5

WF fixed504_monthly

Prep winsorize_p02_p98

Quality

Valid Top10 p 0.6024

Valid Top10 n 126

Valid Top10 y1 82

Valid Top10 y1/n 65.08%

Valid AUROC 0.5750

Valid Precision 54.44%

Valid Recall 47.45%

Valid F1 50.70%

Valid Brier 0.2452

Valid BSS 0.0181

Test @ Valid Top10 n 27

Test @ Valid Top10 y1 16

Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 59.26%

Test AUROC 0.6198

Test Precision 50.85%

Test Recall 50.42%

Test F1 50.63%

Test Brier 0.2375

Test BSS 0.0152

BSS Decay -0.0029

Winner Model Context Own Underlying Label WF Prep Valid Top10 p Valid Top10 n Valid Top10 y1 Valid Top10 y1/n Valid AUC Valid P Valid R Valid F1 Valid Brier Valid BSS Test @VTop10 n Test @VTop10 y1 Test @VTop10 y1/n Test AUC Test P Test R Test F1 Test Brier Test BSS BSS Decay LL Decay Top10 Decay
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h5_abs5 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6024 126 82 65.08% 0.5750 54.44% 47.45% 50.70% 0.2452 0.0181 27 16 59.26% 0.6198 50.85% 50.42% 50.63% 0.2375 0.0152 -0.0029 -0.0150 -0.0582
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h10_abs10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5838 126 70 55.56% 0.6048 49.11% 40.76% 44.55% 0.2320 0.0137 11 7 63.64% 0.7306 43.75% 33.33% 37.84% 0.2029 -0.1873 -0.2009 -0.0617 0.0808
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h5_abs5 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6097 126 86 68.25% 0.5734 54.74% 51.40% 53.02% 0.2467 0.0119 15 13 86.67% 0.6294 54.55% 60.50% 57.37% 0.2391 0.0085 -0.0035 -0.0180 0.1841
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h5_abs5 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5705 126 85 67.46% 0.5668 57.46% 43.16% 49.29% 0.2471 0.0103 19 17 89.47% 0.6254 52.58% 42.86% 47.22% 0.2385 0.0112 0.0008 -0.0183 0.2201
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h10_abs10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5394 126 77 61.11% 0.5744 53.78% 28.36% 37.14% 0.2360 -0.0032 10 4 40.00% 0.7043 46.15% 19.05% 26.97% 0.1843 -0.0786 -0.0754 -0.1135 -0.2111
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core upmove_h10_abs10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5865 126 70 55.56% 0.5678 44.23% 38.66% 41.26% 0.2413 -0.0258 30 23 76.67% 0.7675 46.25% 58.73% 51.75% 0.1827 -0.0689 -0.0431 -0.1308 0.2111
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4359 126 45 35.71% 0.6000 42.42% 5.67% 10.00% 0.1672 -0.0595 0 0 - 0.6736 - 0.00% - 0.0832 -0.0501 0.0095 -0.2060 -
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4913 126 35 27.78% 0.6140 29.20% 13.36% 18.33% 0.1765 -0.1183 19 5 26.32% 0.6704 31.25% 20.00% 24.39% 0.1443 -0.8200 -0.7017 -0.0620 -0.0146
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore price_volume_core underlying_trend_core barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5276 126 33 26.19% 0.5533 23.66% 17.81% 20.32% 0.1908 -0.2091 20 8 40.00% 0.7775 37.50% 36.00% 36.73% 0.1209 -0.5256 -0.3165 -0.1675 0.1381