Phase2 STAGE2

EURL

ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.

Current Winner

Model logistic_regression_gd

Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore

Own trend_breakout_volume_full

Underlying disabled

Label upmove_h10_abs10

WF expanding_monthly

Prep winsorize_p02_p98

Quality

Valid Top10 p 0.5661

Valid Top10 n 126

Valid Top10 y1 76

Valid Top10 y1/n 60.32%

Valid AUROC 0.6969

Valid Precision 57.59%

Valid Recall 35.15%

Valid F1 43.65%

Valid Brier 0.1908

Valid BSS 0.0765

Test @ Valid Top10 n 9

Test @ Valid Top10 y1 8

Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 88.89%

Test AUROC 0.5853

Test Precision 80.00%

Test Recall 11.11%

Test F1 19.51%

Test Brier 0.1789

Test BSS 0.0459

BSS Decay -0.0307

Winner Model Context Own Underlying Label WF Prep Valid Top10 p Valid Top10 n Valid Top10 y1 Valid Top10 y1/n Valid AUC Valid P Valid R Valid F1 Valid Brier Valid BSS Test @VTop10 n Test @VTop10 y1 Test @VTop10 y1/n Test AUC Test P Test R Test F1 Test Brier Test BSS BSS Decay LL Decay Top10 Decay
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h10_abs10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5661 126 76 60.32% 0.6969 57.59% 35.15% 43.65% 0.1908 0.0765 9 8 88.89% 0.5853 80.00% 11.11% 19.51% 0.1789 0.0459 -0.0307 -0.0195 0.2857
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5620 126 78 61.90% 0.6757 54.50% 32.97% 41.09% 0.1936 0.0630 11 6 54.55% 0.6638 51.72% 20.83% 29.70% 0.1814 0.0323 -0.0306 -0.0294 -0.0736
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h5_abs5 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6225 126 87 69.05% 0.6570 57.78% 40.63% 47.71% 0.2225 0.0534 7 6 85.71% 0.6203 70.27% 24.76% 36.62% 0.2182 0.0511 -0.0022 -0.0098 0.1667
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5929 126 74 58.73% 0.6325 54.13% 40.00% 46.00% 0.2269 0.0347 8 6 75.00% 0.6278 56.25% 34.29% 42.60% 0.2253 0.0201 -0.0146 -0.0041 0.1627
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.3490 126 38 30.16% 0.7350 26.67% 8.39% 12.77% 0.1000 0.0071 5 4 80.00% 0.8997 66.67% 11.76% 20.00% 0.0463 0.1662 0.1591 -0.1453 0.4984
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6081 126 71 56.35% 0.5924 46.80% 33.89% 39.32% 0.2363 -0.0057 16 11 68.75% 0.6381 54.22% 42.86% 47.87% 0.2273 0.0116 0.0173 -0.0463 0.1240
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5926 126 65 51.59% 0.6541 46.67% 36.24% 40.80% 0.2085 -0.0089 20 15 75.00% 0.6548 42.11% 33.33% 37.21% 0.1900 -0.0133 -0.0043 -0.0536 0.2341
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4812 126 36 28.57% 0.7201 30.00% 23.08% 26.09% 0.1122 -0.1137 18 9 50.00% 0.7510 50.00% 52.94% 51.43% 0.0531 0.0434 0.1570 -0.1469 0.2143
- logistic_regression_gd own_plus_global_macro_ffcore trend_breakout_volume_full disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4764 126 38 30.16% 0.7493 34.02% 23.08% 27.50% 0.1161 -0.1524 35 9 25.71% 0.8322 30.00% 52.94% 38.30% 0.0877 -0.5792 -0.4268 -0.0984 -0.0444