Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5661
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 76
Valid Top10 y1/n 60.32%
Valid AUROC 0.6969
Valid Precision 57.59%
Valid Recall 35.15%
Valid F1 43.65%
Valid Brier 0.1908
Valid BSS 0.0765
Test @ Valid Top10 n 9
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 8
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 88.89%
Test AUROC 0.5853
Test Precision 80.00%
Test Recall 11.11%
Test F1 19.51%
Test Brier 0.1789
Test BSS 0.0459
BSS Decay -0.0307
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5661 | 126 | 76 | 60.32% | 0.6969 | 57.59% | 35.15% | 43.65% | 0.1908 | 0.0765 | 9 | 8 | 88.89% | 0.5853 | 80.00% | 11.11% | 19.51% | 0.1789 | 0.0459 | -0.0307 | -0.0195 | 0.2857 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5620 | 126 | 78 | 61.90% | 0.6757 | 54.50% | 32.97% | 41.09% | 0.1936 | 0.0630 | 11 | 6 | 54.55% | 0.6638 | 51.72% | 20.83% | 29.70% | 0.1814 | 0.0323 | -0.0306 | -0.0294 | -0.0736 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6225 | 126 | 87 | 69.05% | 0.6570 | 57.78% | 40.63% | 47.71% | 0.2225 | 0.0534 | 7 | 6 | 85.71% | 0.6203 | 70.27% | 24.76% | 36.62% | 0.2182 | 0.0511 | -0.0022 | -0.0098 | 0.1667 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5929 | 126 | 74 | 58.73% | 0.6325 | 54.13% | 40.00% | 46.00% | 0.2269 | 0.0347 | 8 | 6 | 75.00% | 0.6278 | 56.25% | 34.29% | 42.60% | 0.2253 | 0.0201 | -0.0146 | -0.0041 | 0.1627 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.3490 | 126 | 38 | 30.16% | 0.7350 | 26.67% | 8.39% | 12.77% | 0.1000 | 0.0071 | 5 | 4 | 80.00% | 0.8997 | 66.67% | 11.76% | 20.00% | 0.0463 | 0.1662 | 0.1591 | -0.1453 | 0.4984 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6081 | 126 | 71 | 56.35% | 0.5924 | 46.80% | 33.89% | 39.32% | 0.2363 | -0.0057 | 16 | 11 | 68.75% | 0.6381 | 54.22% | 42.86% | 47.87% | 0.2273 | 0.0116 | 0.0173 | -0.0463 | 0.1240 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5926 | 126 | 65 | 51.59% | 0.6541 | 46.67% | 36.24% | 40.80% | 0.2085 | -0.0089 | 20 | 15 | 75.00% | 0.6548 | 42.11% | 33.33% | 37.21% | 0.1900 | -0.0133 | -0.0043 | -0.0536 | 0.2341 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4812 | 126 | 36 | 28.57% | 0.7201 | 30.00% | 23.08% | 26.09% | 0.1122 | -0.1137 | 18 | 9 | 50.00% | 0.7510 | 50.00% | 52.94% | 51.43% | 0.0531 | 0.0434 | 0.1570 | -0.1469 | 0.2143 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4764 | 126 | 38 | 30.16% | 0.7493 | 34.02% | 23.08% | 27.50% | 0.1161 | -0.1524 | 35 | 9 | 25.71% | 0.8322 | 30.00% | 52.94% | 38.30% | 0.0877 | -0.5792 | -0.4268 | -0.0984 | -0.0444 |