Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own trend_breakout_volume_full
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5767
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 88
Valid Top10 y1/n 69.84%
Valid AUROC 0.6142
Valid Precision 55.15%
Valid Recall 41.23%
Valid F1 47.19%
Valid Brier 0.2335
Valid BSS 0.0363
Test @ Valid Top10 n 7
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 7
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 100.00%
Test AUROC 0.5904
Test Precision 65.71%
Test Recall 17.04%
Test F1 27.06%
Test Brier 0.2420
Test BSS 0.0259
BSS Decay -0.0105
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5767 | 126 | 88 | 69.84% | 0.6142 | 55.15% | 41.23% | 47.19% | 0.2335 | 0.0363 | 7 | 7 | 100.00% | 0.5904 | 65.71% | 17.04% | 27.06% | 0.2420 | 0.0259 | -0.0105 | 0.0172 | 0.3016 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5822 | 126 | 80 | 63.49% | 0.6122 | 56.16% | 47.40% | 51.41% | 0.2375 | 0.0199 | 24 | 18 | 75.00% | 0.6229 | 56.12% | 40.74% | 47.21% | 0.2375 | 0.0439 | 0.0240 | -0.0012 | 0.1151 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5520 | 126 | 71 | 56.35% | 0.6365 | 51.08% | 31.55% | 39.01% | 0.2066 | 0.0111 | 5 | 5 | 100.00% | 0.5874 | 100.00% | 5.56% | 10.53% | 0.2277 | 0.0285 | 0.0174 | 0.0462 | 0.4365 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6178 | 126 | 74 | 58.73% | 0.5545 | 48.05% | 40.27% | 43.82% | 0.2477 | -0.0222 | 8 | 6 | 75.00% | 0.6157 | 51.35% | 42.22% | 46.34% | 0.2395 | 0.0362 | 0.0584 | -0.0197 | 0.1627 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5283 | 126 | 55 | 43.65% | 0.5823 | 44.44% | 22.46% | 29.84% | 0.2162 | -0.0348 | 23 | 15 | 65.22% | 0.6724 | 65.85% | 25.00% | 36.24% | 0.2163 | 0.0771 | 0.1119 | -0.0017 | 0.2157 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5785 | 126 | 50 | 39.68% | 0.5598 | 32.46% | 29.68% | 31.01% | 0.2290 | -0.0961 | 33 | 23 | 69.70% | 0.5949 | 42.05% | 34.26% | 37.76% | 0.2341 | 0.0010 | 0.0971 | 0.0086 | 0.3001 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.3972 | 126 | 30 | 23.81% | 0.6142 | 29.41% | 9.38% | 14.22% | 0.1232 | -0.1094 | 2 | 1 | 50.00% | 0.5457 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1236 | 0.0077 | 0.1171 | 0.0094 | 0.2619 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4198 | 126 | 28 | 22.22% | 0.6302 | 28.07% | 10.00% | 14.75% | 0.1280 | -0.1533 | 24 | 8 | 33.33% | 0.6855 | 46.15% | 14.29% | 21.82% | 0.1212 | 0.0267 | 0.1799 | -0.0336 | 0.1111 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_breakout_volume_full | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5104 | 126 | 28 | 22.22% | 0.6448 | 20.57% | 18.12% | 19.27% | 0.1342 | -0.2091 | 19 | 10 | 52.63% | 0.6130 | 50.00% | 23.81% | 32.26% | 0.1372 | -0.1013 | 0.1079 | 0.0230 | 0.3041 |