Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5851
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 83
Valid Top10 y1/n 65.87%
Valid AUROC 0.5794
Valid Precision 51.21%
Valid Recall 46.59%
Valid F1 48.79%
Valid Brier 0.2432
Valid BSS 0.0087
Test @ Valid Top10 n 10
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 8
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 80.00%
Test AUROC 0.5913
Test Precision 56.41%
Test Recall 19.30%
Test F1 28.76%
Test Brier 0.2285
Test BSS 0.0389
BSS Decay 0.0302
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5851 | 126 | 83 | 65.87% | 0.5794 | 51.21% | 46.59% | 48.79% | 0.2432 | 0.0087 | 10 | 8 | 80.00% | 0.5913 | 56.41% | 19.30% | 28.76% | 0.2285 | 0.0389 | 0.0302 | -0.0312 | 0.1413 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5969 | 126 | 79 | 62.70% | 0.5851 | 53.83% | 46.59% | 49.95% | 0.2444 | 0.0038 | 5 | 5 | 100.00% | 0.5278 | 52.17% | 31.58% | 39.34% | 0.2461 | -0.0353 | -0.0391 | 0.0024 | 0.3730 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6369 | 126 | 74 | 58.73% | 0.5721 | 48.71% | 45.30% | 46.95% | 0.2474 | -0.0084 | 5 | 4 | 80.00% | 0.5005 | 43.40% | 40.35% | 41.82% | 0.2574 | -0.0827 | -0.0743 | 0.0204 | 0.2127 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5727 | 126 | 75 | 59.52% | 0.6094 | 50.16% | 38.61% | 43.64% | 0.2211 | -0.0143 | 14 | 8 | 57.14% | 0.5525 | 37.14% | 19.12% | 25.24% | 0.2042 | -0.1321 | -0.1178 | -0.0272 | -0.0238 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5698 | 126 | 78 | 61.90% | 0.6117 | 51.19% | 37.38% | 43.20% | 0.2217 | -0.0171 | 3 | 3 | 100.00% | 0.6426 | 80.00% | 5.88% | 10.96% | 0.1675 | 0.0716 | 0.0887 | -0.1198 | 0.3810 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6224 | 126 | 64 | 50.79% | 0.5878 | 39.89% | 35.15% | 37.37% | 0.2281 | -0.0463 | 25 | 8 | 32.00% | 0.4824 | 28.36% | 27.94% | 28.15% | 0.2342 | -0.2983 | -0.2520 | 0.0331 | -0.1879 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4849 | 126 | 60 | 47.62% | 0.7449 | 48.72% | 32.20% | 38.78% | 0.1272 | -0.0524 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.7382 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.1017 | 0.0702 | 0.1226 | -0.0651 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4824 | 126 | 36 | 28.57% | 0.6960 | 28.00% | 15.82% | 20.22% | 0.1367 | -0.1309 | 13 | 5 | 38.46% | 0.4645 | 30.00% | 8.33% | 13.04% | 0.1507 | -0.3778 | -0.2469 | 0.0740 | 0.0989 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4924 | 126 | 27 | 21.43% | 0.6385 | 21.62% | 13.56% | 16.67% | 0.1447 | -0.1971 | 33 | 6 | 18.18% | 0.4318 | 16.13% | 13.89% | 14.93% | 0.1771 | -0.6190 | -0.4219 | 0.1207 | -0.0325 |