Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5073
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 57
Valid Top10 y1/n 45.24%
Valid AUROC 0.5092
Valid Precision 43.33%
Valid Recall 17.87%
Valid F1 25.30%
Valid Brier 0.2489
Valid BSS -0.0013
Test @ Valid Top10 n 18
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 10
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 55.56%
Test AUROC 0.5378
Test Precision 47.37%
Test Recall 18.37%
Test F1 26.47%
Test Brier 0.2434
Test BSS -0.0936
BSS Decay -0.0923
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5073 | 126 | 57 | 45.24% | 0.5092 | 43.33% | 17.87% | 25.30% | 0.2489 | -0.0013 | 18 | 10 | 55.56% | 0.5378 | 47.37% | 18.37% | 26.47% | 0.2434 | -0.0936 | -0.0923 | -0.0110 | 0.1032 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6196 | 126 | 70 | 55.56% | 0.5692 | 51.93% | 50.86% | 51.39% | 0.2491 | -0.0022 | 6 | 1 | 16.67% | 0.4723 | 29.25% | 31.63% | 30.39% | 0.2486 | -0.1168 | -0.1146 | -0.0017 | -0.3889 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5484 | 126 | 50 | 39.68% | 0.5180 | 49.58% | 40.38% | 44.51% | 0.2534 | -0.0192 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.4284 | 16.67% | 4.08% | 6.56% | 0.2468 | -0.1089 | -0.0897 | -0.0135 | -0.3968 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5731 | 126 | 64 | 50.79% | 0.5696 | 40.64% | 34.94% | 37.58% | 0.2371 | -0.0481 | 20 | 3 | 15.00% | 0.5788 | 21.05% | 15.09% | 17.58% | 0.1977 | -0.3163 | -0.2682 | -0.0960 | -0.3579 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4770 | 126 | 36 | 28.57% | 0.4409 | 38.78% | 4.37% | 7.85% | 0.2422 | -0.0708 | 18 | 6 | 33.33% | 0.5481 | 42.86% | 5.66% | 10.00% | 0.2129 | -0.4179 | -0.3471 | -0.0603 | 0.0476 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5408 | 126 | 43 | 34.13% | 0.5070 | 40.59% | 25.29% | 31.16% | 0.2470 | -0.0919 | 3 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.5554 | 37.50% | 5.66% | 9.84% | 0.1723 | -0.1476 | -0.0557 | -0.1647 | -0.3413 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.3856 | 126 | 8 | 6.35% | 0.3480 | 25.00% | 0.82% | 1.58% | 0.1856 | -0.1837 | 40 | 10 | 25.00% | 0.8264 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.0920 | -0.2521 | -0.0684 | -0.2412 | 0.1865 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5213 | 126 | 36 | 28.57% | 0.5822 | 25.62% | 16.73% | 20.25% | 0.1905 | -0.2150 | 10 | 2 | 20.00% | 0.6668 | 18.18% | 8.70% | 11.76% | 0.1049 | -0.4272 | -0.2122 | -0.2172 | -0.0857 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4718 | 126 | 22 | 17.46% | 0.5116 | 16.67% | 3.27% | 5.46% | 0.1918 | -0.2228 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.6443 | 0.00% | 0.00% | - | 0.0828 | -0.1271 | 0.0957 | -0.2764 | -0.1746 |