Phase2 STAGE2

DRN

ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.

Current Winner

Model logistic_regression_gd

Context own_only

Own trend_volatility_core

Underlying disabled

Label upmove_h5_abs5

WF fixed504_monthly

Prep winsorize_p02_p98

Quality

Valid Top10 p 0.6030

Valid Top10 n 126

Valid Top10 y1 70

Valid Top10 y1/n 55.56%

Valid AUROC 0.5700

Valid Precision 53.99%

Valid Recall 51.75%

Valid F1 52.85%

Valid Brier 0.2479

Valid BSS 0.0064

Test @ Valid Top10 n 3

Test @ Valid Top10 y1 3

Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 100.00%

Test AUROC 0.6229

Test Precision 48.84%

Test Recall 40.78%

Test F1 44.44%

Test Brier 0.2319

Test BSS -0.0171

BSS Decay -0.0235

Winner Model Context Own Underlying Label WF Prep Valid Top10 p Valid Top10 n Valid Top10 y1 Valid Top10 y1/n Valid AUC Valid P Valid R Valid F1 Valid Brier Valid BSS Test @VTop10 n Test @VTop10 y1 Test @VTop10 y1/n Test AUC Test P Test R Test F1 Test Brier Test BSS BSS Decay LL Decay Top10 Decay
- logistic_regression_gd own_only trend_volatility_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6030 126 70 55.56% 0.5700 53.99% 51.75% 52.85% 0.2479 0.0064 3 3 100.00% 0.6229 48.84% 40.78% 44.44% 0.2319 -0.0171 -0.0235 -0.0332 0.4444
- logistic_regression_gd own_only trend_volatility_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5977 126 81 64.29% 0.5532 50.91% 46.59% 48.65% 0.2486 0.0034 5 4 80.00% 0.6405 58.44% 43.69% 50.00% 0.2314 -0.0149 -0.0184 -0.0356 0.1571
- logistic_regression_gd own_only trend_volatility_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6071 126 76 60.32% 0.6015 53.15% 36.65% 43.38% 0.2360 0.0023 4 4 100.00% 0.6287 59.09% 22.03% 32.10% 0.1908 -0.1713 -0.1736 -0.0989 0.3968
- logistic_regression_gd own_only trend_volatility_core disabled upmove_h5_abs5 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6085 126 61 48.41% 0.5517 52.26% 44.26% 47.93% 0.2546 -0.0203 0 0 - 0.5666 42.68% 33.98% 37.84% 0.2385 -0.0464 -0.0261 -0.0328 -
- logistic_regression_gd own_only trend_volatility_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6255 126 66 52.38% 0.5887 48.96% 43.69% 46.17% 0.2439 -0.0313 19 14 73.68% 0.6082 36.96% 28.81% 32.38% 0.1805 -0.1079 -0.0767 -0.1252 0.2130
- logistic_regression_gd own_only trend_volatility_core disabled upmove_h10_abs10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.6101 126 64 50.79% 0.5834 49.22% 45.76% 47.42% 0.2468 -0.0433 9 3 33.33% 0.6048 46.67% 35.59% 40.38% 0.1912 -0.1741 -0.1308 -0.1202 -0.1746
- logistic_regression_gd own_only trend_volatility_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 expanding_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.4585 126 51 40.48% 0.6354 41.11% 16.52% 23.57% 0.1554 -0.0619 2 1 50.00% 0.4532 100.00% 5.88% 11.11% 0.0733 -0.3189 -0.2571 -0.1919 0.0952
- logistic_regression_gd own_only trend_volatility_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed504_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5241 126 41 32.54% 0.5989 28.81% 22.77% 25.44% 0.1738 -0.1877 19 2 10.53% 0.4155 9.52% 11.76% 10.53% 0.0960 -0.7289 -0.5412 -0.2002 -0.2201
- logistic_regression_gd own_only trend_volatility_core disabled barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 fixed252_monthly winsorize_p02_p98 0.5207 126 30 23.81% 0.5754 22.60% 17.86% 19.95% 0.1788 -0.2219 0 0 - 0.5817 - 0.00% - 0.0606 -0.0918 0.1301 -0.2984 -