Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own trend_volatility_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own trend_volatility_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h5_abs5
WF fixed504_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.6030
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 70
Valid Top10 y1/n 55.56%
Valid AUROC 0.5700
Valid Precision 53.99%
Valid Recall 51.75%
Valid F1 52.85%
Valid Brier 0.2479
Valid BSS 0.0064
Test @ Valid Top10 n 3
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 3
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 100.00%
Test AUROC 0.6229
Test Precision 48.84%
Test Recall 40.78%
Test F1 44.44%
Test Brier 0.2319
Test BSS -0.0171
BSS Decay -0.0235
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_volatility_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6030 | 126 | 70 | 55.56% | 0.5700 | 53.99% | 51.75% | 52.85% | 0.2479 | 0.0064 | 3 | 3 | 100.00% | 0.6229 | 48.84% | 40.78% | 44.44% | 0.2319 | -0.0171 | -0.0235 | -0.0332 | 0.4444 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_volatility_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5977 | 126 | 81 | 64.29% | 0.5532 | 50.91% | 46.59% | 48.65% | 0.2486 | 0.0034 | 5 | 4 | 80.00% | 0.6405 | 58.44% | 43.69% | 50.00% | 0.2314 | -0.0149 | -0.0184 | -0.0356 | 0.1571 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_volatility_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6071 | 126 | 76 | 60.32% | 0.6015 | 53.15% | 36.65% | 43.38% | 0.2360 | 0.0023 | 4 | 4 | 100.00% | 0.6287 | 59.09% | 22.03% | 32.10% | 0.1908 | -0.1713 | -0.1736 | -0.0989 | 0.3968 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_volatility_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6085 | 126 | 61 | 48.41% | 0.5517 | 52.26% | 44.26% | 47.93% | 0.2546 | -0.0203 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.5666 | 42.68% | 33.98% | 37.84% | 0.2385 | -0.0464 | -0.0261 | -0.0328 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_volatility_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6255 | 126 | 66 | 52.38% | 0.5887 | 48.96% | 43.69% | 46.17% | 0.2439 | -0.0313 | 19 | 14 | 73.68% | 0.6082 | 36.96% | 28.81% | 32.38% | 0.1805 | -0.1079 | -0.0767 | -0.1252 | 0.2130 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_volatility_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6101 | 126 | 64 | 50.79% | 0.5834 | 49.22% | 45.76% | 47.42% | 0.2468 | -0.0433 | 9 | 3 | 33.33% | 0.6048 | 46.67% | 35.59% | 40.38% | 0.1912 | -0.1741 | -0.1308 | -0.1202 | -0.1746 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_volatility_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4585 | 126 | 51 | 40.48% | 0.6354 | 41.11% | 16.52% | 23.57% | 0.1554 | -0.0619 | 2 | 1 | 50.00% | 0.4532 | 100.00% | 5.88% | 11.11% | 0.0733 | -0.3189 | -0.2571 | -0.1919 | 0.0952 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_volatility_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5241 | 126 | 41 | 32.54% | 0.5989 | 28.81% | 22.77% | 25.44% | 0.1738 | -0.1877 | 19 | 2 | 10.53% | 0.4155 | 9.52% | 11.76% | 10.53% | 0.0960 | -0.7289 | -0.5412 | -0.2002 | -0.2201 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | trend_volatility_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5207 | 126 | 30 | 23.81% | 0.5754 | 22.60% | 17.86% | 19.95% | 0.1788 | -0.2219 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.5817 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.0606 | -0.0918 | 0.1301 | -0.2984 | - |