Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_plus_global_macro_ffcore
Own price_volume_core
Underlying disabled
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5384
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 82
Valid Top10 y1/n 65.08%
Valid AUROC 0.5257
Valid Precision 55.09%
Valid Recall 42.72%
Valid F1 48.13%
Valid Brier 0.2505
Valid BSS -0.0029
Test @ Valid Top10 n 4
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 4
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 100.00%
Test AUROC 0.5533
Test Precision 68.18%
Test Recall 30.41%
Test F1 42.06%
Test Brier 0.2486
Test BSS 0.0049
BSS Decay 0.0078
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5384 | 126 | 82 | 65.08% | 0.5257 | 55.09% | 42.72% | 48.13% | 0.2505 | -0.0029 | 4 | 4 | 100.00% | 0.5533 | 68.18% | 30.41% | 42.06% | 0.2486 | 0.0049 | 0.0078 | -0.0040 | 0.3492 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6049 | 126 | 76 | 60.32% | 0.5395 | 54.12% | 53.87% | 54.00% | 0.2519 | -0.0084 | 9 | 7 | 77.78% | 0.5125 | 47.09% | 54.73% | 50.62% | 0.2487 | 0.0045 | 0.0128 | -0.0073 | 0.1746 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5951 | 126 | 69 | 54.76% | 0.4952 | 50.71% | 50.00% | 50.35% | 0.2542 | -0.0175 | 19 | 12 | 63.16% | 0.4853 | 53.85% | 47.30% | 50.36% | 0.2537 | -0.0157 | 0.0017 | -0.0014 | 0.0840 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6256 | 126 | 82 | 65.08% | 0.5113 | 62.00% | 77.32% | 68.82% | 0.2417 | -0.0302 | 42 | 32 | 76.19% | 0.5941 | 59.29% | 95.40% | 73.13% | 0.2360 | 0.0216 | 0.0517 | -0.0120 | 0.1111 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6289 | 126 | 86 | 68.25% | 0.5338 | 62.60% | 77.20% | 69.14% | 0.2422 | -0.0323 | 6 | 3 | 50.00% | 0.5071 | 59.31% | 78.74% | 67.65% | 0.2470 | -0.0241 | 0.0081 | 0.0098 | -0.1825 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6401 | 126 | 87 | 69.05% | 0.5232 | 62.47% | 71.46% | 66.67% | 0.2444 | -0.0419 | 14 | 10 | 71.43% | 0.4962 | 57.99% | 72.99% | 64.63% | 0.2486 | -0.0307 | 0.0112 | 0.0086 | 0.0238 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5146 | 126 | 37 | 29.37% | 0.5322 | 30.21% | 14.95% | 20.00% | 0.2312 | -0.0841 | 6 | 4 | 66.67% | 0.4532 | 58.33% | 8.05% | 14.14% | 0.2364 | -0.1215 | -0.0374 | 0.0095 | 0.3730 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4807 | 126 | 38 | 30.16% | 0.4662 | 33.33% | 6.44% | 10.80% | 0.2327 | -0.0910 | 3 | 3 | 100.00% | 0.5570 | 100.00% | 1.15% | 2.27% | 0.2125 | -0.0079 | 0.0830 | -0.0437 | 0.6984 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_plus_global_macro_ffcore | price_volume_core | disabled | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5459 | 126 | 40 | 31.75% | 0.5052 | 31.38% | 26.29% | 28.61% | 0.2401 | -0.1255 | 24 | 14 | 58.33% | 0.4260 | 46.67% | 24.14% | 31.82% | 0.2493 | -0.1825 | -0.0570 | 0.0188 | 0.2659 |