Current Winner
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Phase2 STAGE2
ticker별 후보를 Stage 2 기준으로 나열합니다. winner가 있으면 가장 위에 표시됩니다.
Model logistic_regression_gd
Context own_only
Own price_volume_core
Underlying underlying_trend_core
Label upmove_h10_abs10
WF expanding_monthly
Prep winsorize_p02_p98
Valid Top10 p 0.5754
Valid Top10 n 126
Valid Top10 y1 91
Valid Top10 y1/n 72.22%
Valid AUROC 0.6714
Valid Precision 59.81%
Valid Recall 40.35%
Valid F1 48.19%
Valid Brier 0.2182
Valid BSS 0.0600
Test @ Valid Top10 n 3
Test @ Valid Top10 y1 3
Test @ Valid Top10 y1/n 100.00%
Test AUROC 0.5256
Test Precision 62.50%
Test Recall 3.47%
Test F1 6.58%
Test Brier 0.2784
Test BSS -0.1135
BSS Decay -0.1735
| Winner | Model | Context | Own | Underlying | Label | WF | Prep | Valid Top10 p | Valid Top10 n | Valid Top10 y1 | Valid Top10 y1/n | Valid AUC | Valid P | Valid R | Valid F1 | Valid Brier | Valid BSS | Test @VTop10 n | Test @VTop10 y1 | Test @VTop10 y1/n | Test AUC | Test P | Test R | Test F1 | Test Brier | Test BSS | BSS Decay | LL Decay | Top10 Decay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5754 | 126 | 91 | 72.22% | 0.6714 | 59.81% | 40.35% | 48.19% | 0.2182 | 0.0600 | 3 | 3 | 100.00% | 0.5256 | 62.50% | 3.47% | 6.58% | 0.2784 | -0.1135 | -0.1735 | 0.1289 | 0.2778 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6090 | 126 | 92 | 73.02% | 0.5806 | 54.56% | 51.85% | 53.17% | 0.2439 | 0.0242 | 9 | 8 | 88.89% | 0.5514 | 63.19% | 53.22% | 57.78% | 0.2485 | -0.0225 | -0.0466 | 0.0093 | 0.1587 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5990 | 126 | 93 | 73.81% | 0.5896 | 57.21% | 57.30% | 57.26% | 0.2442 | 0.0233 | 5 | 5 | 100.00% | 0.5657 | 75.41% | 26.90% | 39.66% | 0.2546 | -0.0476 | -0.0709 | 0.0214 | 0.2619 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5847 | 126 | 79 | 62.70% | 0.6039 | 45.93% | 37.96% | 41.57% | 0.2302 | 0.0086 | 8 | 6 | 75.00% | 0.4260 | 42.86% | 29.17% | 34.71% | 0.2710 | -0.0840 | -0.0926 | 0.0895 | 0.1230 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h5_abs5 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6159 | 126 | 85 | 67.46% | 0.5556 | 55.68% | 47.99% | 51.55% | 0.2516 | -0.0065 | 28 | 24 | 85.71% | 0.6317 | 66.30% | 71.35% | 68.73% | 0.2478 | -0.0195 | -0.0130 | -0.0035 | 0.1825 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | upmove_h10_abs10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.6226 | 126 | 85 | 67.46% | 0.6012 | 51.78% | 41.00% | 45.76% | 0.2346 | -0.0104 | 27 | 24 | 88.89% | 0.5729 | 55.19% | 59.03% | 57.05% | 0.2776 | -0.1103 | -0.0999 | 0.1740 | 0.2143 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | expanding_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4381 | 126 | 53 | 42.06% | 0.6885 | 39.51% | 15.46% | 22.22% | 0.1422 | -0.0343 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.5433 | - | 0.00% | - | 0.2180 | -0.0703 | -0.0360 | 0.1943 | - |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed504_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.4652 | 126 | 43 | 34.13% | 0.6563 | 35.14% | 12.56% | 18.51% | 0.1466 | -0.0664 | 38 | 14 | 36.84% | 0.4914 | 41.67% | 6.10% | 10.64% | 0.2241 | -0.1002 | -0.0338 | 0.1889 | 0.0272 |
| - | logistic_regression_gd | own_only | price_volume_core | underlying_trend_core | barrier_h10_tp15_sl10 | fixed252_monthly | winsorize_p02_p98 | 0.5077 | 126 | 44 | 34.92% | 0.6242 | 33.85% | 21.26% | 26.11% | 0.1583 | -0.1512 | 37 | 15 | 40.54% | 0.4240 | 40.00% | 19.51% | 26.23% | 0.2361 | -0.1592 | -0.0079 | 0.1733 | 0.0562 |